Why the storm surge forecast for Irma wasn’t so bad, just incomplete

The scariest part of the forecast for Irma was a prediction that seas would rise 10 to 15 feet above normally dry land in the Keys and Southwest Florida. The National Hurricane Center said the resulting inundation of homes and businesses would be "catastrophic."

Naples had a storm surge of about five feet. Key West’s surge was about three feet.

[ Storm surges are the worst part of a hurricane — and will get even more destructive ]

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